Traders Bet Bitcoin Hits $80K Regardless of Election Outcome

Some investors foresee bullish market momentum for BTC that defies politics.

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Some traders see price rallying into the election as a sign that investors believe that a change in administration, no matter the administration, will be beneficial to the market, CoinDesk reports.

What's the scoop?

  • $80K Targeted: Open interest for calls expiring November 29 and December 27 concentrates at $80K, with a small amount of traders also eyeing $100K by year-end.
  • Options Interest as Election Hedge: Options expiring on November 8 have the highest open interest at a $75K strike price, but some traders see these high-price options as a hedge against the election, rather than a purely bullish outlook.
  • Macro Factors: Rate cuts starting a new easing cycle, and stock price rising, add momentum for a potential price surge.

Bankless Take:

While bipartisan pro-crypto signals may boost optimism, this doesn’t guarantee the election will bring substantial crypto policy changes. Instead, traders are looking to rate cuts and a fresh administration as more immediate and concrete catalysts, with the call options indicating many traders expect BTC to ride a macroeconomic wave through election season. While many believe a Republican win would be more favorable, traders seem prepared for Bitcoin’s upside regardless, with onchain metrics reinforcing a bullish outlook.


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David C

Written by David C

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David is a writer/analyst at Bankless. Prior to joining Bankless, he worked for a series of early-stage crypto startups and on grants from the Ethereum, Solana, and Urbit Foundations. He graduated from Skidmore College in New York. He currently lives in the Midwest and enjoys NFTs, but no longer participates in them.

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